Decrease in global diamond production creates demand amongst India’s super rich
It is well-known that the primary source of the rarest pink diamonds in the world, Rio Tinto’s Argyle mine in Australia, will close its operations imminently. Less well-known is the pre-pandemic expected decline of around 8% of total rough diamonds mined, starting in 2021. In Bain’s 2019 Global Diamond Industry Report, it states annual production of rough diamonds is expected to decline in Canada, Botswana, Australia and South Africa.
The anticipated reduced production, combined with the estimated 20% Covid-related drop in rough output this year, may push up diamond prices further in the near future. And with coloured diamonds representing just 0.001% of the total rough diamonds mined, the value of these exceptionally rare stones is foreseen to skyrocket as supply falls.
Indian based diamond traders have commented that the demand for Argyle pink diamonds has shot up by three times amongst high net worth Indians compared to the same period last year.
Over the last decade up to 2017, the average price paid at auction for coloured diamonds increased by 122% with Argyle diamonds demanding a further 10 - 20% on top. Argyle diamonds can reach in excess of $5 million per carat depending upon the size and clarity. The mine holds an annual invitation-only Argyle Pink Diamond Tender in which it showcases its best pink, red, and blue stones from the preceding year. Over the last decade, Philip Baldwin and Mahyar Makhzani have been invited to the Tender and have previously purchased three Argyle red diamonds, the Argyle Isla, Aurora and Prima, one of which sold with a Gross Return of 1.6x, with a 38% IRR (internal rate of return).
